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China Jinmao Holdings Group (HKG:817 Investor Three-year Losses Grow to 72% as the Stock Sheds HK$938m This Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8, 2023 21:23

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (HKG:817); the share price is down a whopping 78% in the last three years. That would be a disturbing experience. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 45% in the last year. Even worse, it's down 20% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.

Since China Jinmao Holdings Group has shed HK$938m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

See our latest analysis for China Jinmao Holdings Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the three years that the share price declined, China Jinmao Holdings Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped significantly, falling to a loss. Extraordinary items contributed to this situation. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:817 Earnings Per Share Growth October 9th 2023

This free interactive report on China Jinmao Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Jinmao Holdings Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -72%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

China Jinmao Holdings Group shareholders are down 40% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 5.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Jinmao Holdings Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that China Jinmao Holdings Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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