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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Kaisa Health Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:876) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 34%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 25, 2023 18:17

Kaisa Health Group Holdings Limited (HKG:876) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 72% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Kaisa Health Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Medical Equipment industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Kaisa Health Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:876 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2023

What Does Kaisa Health Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Kaisa Health Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Kaisa Health Group Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kaisa Health Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Kaisa Health Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kaisa Health Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.1% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.0% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 67% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Kaisa Health Group Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Kaisa Health Group Holdings' P/S?

Shares in Kaisa Health Group Holdings have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Kaisa Health Group Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Kaisa Health Group Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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