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Optimistic Investors Push Dezhan Healthcare Company Limited (SZSE:000813) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 22, 2023 18:24

Dezhan Healthcare Company Limited (SZSE:000813) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may consider Dezhan Healthcare as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Dezhan Healthcare

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000813 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 22nd 2023

What Does Dezhan Healthcare's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Dezhan Healthcare over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dezhan Healthcare, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Dezhan Healthcare's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dezhan Healthcare's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 69% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 190% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dezhan Healthcare's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Dezhan Healthcare have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Dezhan Healthcare currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Dezhan Healthcare (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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