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TATA Health International Holdings Limited's (HKG:1255) 34% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 14, 2023 18:39

TATA Health International Holdings Limited (HKG:1255) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think TATA Health International Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Specialty Retail industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for TATA Health International Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1255 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2023

How TATA Health International Holdings Has Been Performing

TATA Health International Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TATA Health International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

TATA Health International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Still, revenue has fallen 19% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that TATA Health International Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does TATA Health International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Following TATA Health International Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that TATA Health International Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TATA Health International Holdings (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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