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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Duiba Group Limited's (HKG:1753) 29% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 14, 2023 18:18

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Duiba Group Limited (HKG:1753) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 69% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Duiba Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Interactive Media and Services industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Duiba Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1753 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2023

What Does Duiba Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Duiba Group has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Duiba Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Duiba Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 63% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 35% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 13% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Duiba Group's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Duiba Group's P/S

Duiba Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Interactive Media and Services companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Duiba Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Duiba Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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