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Is Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300437) A Risky Investment?

Is Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300437) A Risky Investment?

河南清水源科技股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:300437)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/24 18:26

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Henan Qingshuiyuan Technology CO.,Ltd (SZSE:300437) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們注意到河南清水源科技有限公司(SZSE:300437)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們考慮一家公司的債務用途時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd

查看我們對河南清水源科技有限公司的最新分析

What Is Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

河南清水源科技有限公司的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd had CN¥498.1m of debt at June 2023, down from CN¥763.0m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥335.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥163.1m.

如下所示,截至2023年6月,河南清水源科技有限公司的債務為4.981億元人民幣,低於一年前的7.63億元人民幣。然而,它確實有3.35億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為1.631億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300437 Debt to Equity History August 24th 2023
深圳證交所:300437債轉股歷史2023年8月24日

A Look At Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

河南清水源科技有限公司負債情況一瞥

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.03b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥230.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥335.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥622.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥303.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,河南清水源科技有限公司有10.3億加元的負債在12個月內到期,還有2.301億加元的負債在12個月內到期。為了抵消這些債務,該公司有3.35億加元的現金以及價值6.225億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額為3.032億加元,比現金和短期應收賬款的總和還要多。

Since publicly traded Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥3.99b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由於上市的河南清水源科技股份有限公司股票總價值39.9億元人民幣,這樣的負債水準似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控未來的資產負債表。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為河南清水源科技有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

Over 12 months, Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.3b, which is a fall of 29%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在12個月的時間裡,河南清水源科技有限公司息稅前利潤出現虧損,收入下降至13億加元,降幅為29%。坦率地說,這不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

告誡買入者

Not only did Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥3.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥22m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

河南清水源科技有限公司不僅在過去12個月中收入下滑,而且息稅前收益(EBIT)也為負。事實上,在息稅前利潤水準上,它虧損了340萬加元。考慮到除了上面提到的債務,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認為它的資產負債表有點緊張,但並不是無法修復。然而,它在過去一年裡燒掉了2200萬元人民幣的現金,這也於事無補。因此,可以說,我們確實認為這只股票是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了河南清水源科技有限公司的3個警示標誌你應該知道,其中有一條是有關的。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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