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Is Viva Goods (HKG:933) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Viva Goods (HKG:933) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Viva Goods(HKG: 933)是否受到債務負擔的壓力?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/20 20:05

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Viva Goods Company Limited (HKG:933) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David·伊本說得好,波動不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。重要的是Viva Goods Limited(HKG:933)確實有債務。但股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水準時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水準。

View our latest analysis for Viva Goods

查看我們對Viva Goods的最新分析

What Is Viva Goods's Net Debt?

Viva Goods的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Viva Goods had debt of HK$803.5m, up from HK$17.1m in one year. However, it does have HK$1.48b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of HK$679.5m.

下圖顯示,截至2023年6月,Viva Goods的債務為8.035億港元,高於一年內的1710萬港元。你可以點擊查看更多細節。然而,該公司確實擁有14.8億港元的現金,抵消了這一影響,導致淨現金達到6.795億港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:933 Debt to Equity History August 21st 2023
聯交所:933債轉股歷史2023年8月21日

How Strong Is Viva Goods' Balance Sheet?

Viva Goods的資產負債表有多強勁?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Viva Goods had liabilities of HK$3.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$2.42b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$1.48b as well as receivables valued at HK$820.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.80b.

我們從最近的資產負債表可以看到,Viva Goods有36.9億港元的負債在一年內到期,而在這之後還有24.2億港元的負債到期。作為對這些債務的抵消,該公司有14.8億港元現金和8.209億港元應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款之和高出38億港元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Viva Goods is worth HK$12.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Viva Goods boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Viva Goods's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為Viva Goods價值124億港元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。儘管有值得注意的負債,但Viva Goods擁有淨現金,所以可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但Viva Goods的收益將影響未來資產負債表的表現。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Viva Goods wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 704%, to HK$12b. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

去年,Viva Goods在息稅前利潤水準上沒有盈利,但收入增長了704%,達到120億港元。當談到收入增長時,這就像是在比賽中贏得了3分!

So How Risky Is Viva Goods?

那麼,萬歲商品的風險有多大呢?

Although Viva Goods had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of HK$1.0b. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. One positive is that Viva Goods is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Viva Goods (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

雖然Viva Goods在過去12個月錄得息稅前盈利(EBIT)虧損,但其法定利潤為港幣10億元。因此,從表面上看,考慮到現金,我們認為短期內風險不是很大。一個積極的因素是,Viva Goods的收入正在快速增長,這使得銷售增長故事和在必要時籌集資金變得更容易。但我們仍然認為這有一定的風險。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現2萬歲商品的警示標誌(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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