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Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:682) 38% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 20, 2023 18:26

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited (HKG:682) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 38% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -5.8x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings)

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:682 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings)?

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 58% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings)'s P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings)'s P/E?

Shares in Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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