share_log

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy China Motor Bus Company, Limited (HKG:26) For Its Next Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  May 28, 2023 20:05

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that China Motor Bus Company, Limited (HKG:26) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase China Motor Bus Company's shares before the 2nd of June in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 27th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$1.10 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$3.20 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that China Motor Bus Company has a trailing yield of 4.5% on the current share price of HK$70.35. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether China Motor Bus Company's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for China Motor Bus Company

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. China Motor Bus Company's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. Given that the company reported a loss last year, we now need to see if it generated enough free cash flow to fund the dividend. If China Motor Bus Company didn't generate enough cash to pay the dividend, then it must have either paid from cash in the bank or by borrowing money, neither of which is sustainable in the long term. The company paid out 99% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Click here to see how much of its profit China Motor Bus Company paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:26 Historic Dividend May 29th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. China Motor Bus Company was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. China Motor Bus Company has delivered an average of 3.4% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of China Motor Bus Company's financial health, by checking our visualisation of its financial health, here.

The Bottom Line

Has China Motor Bus Company got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's hard to get used to China Motor Bus Company paying a dividend despite reporting a loss over the past year. Worse, the dividend was not well covered by cash flow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Although, if you're still interested in China Motor Bus Company and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Motor Bus Company you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment