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Earnings Working Against Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp, Ltd.'s (SZSE:002699) Share Price Following 26% Dive

Simply Wall St ·  May 4, 2023 19:43

Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp, Ltd. (SZSE:002699) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -3.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002699 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 4th 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 240%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 45% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp's P/E?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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