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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Kin Pang Holdings Limited (HKG:1722) Even After 25% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19, 2023 19:14

Kin Pang Holdings Limited (HKG:1722) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 135% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kin Pang Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Kin Pang Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1722 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2023

What Does Kin Pang Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Kin Pang Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kin Pang Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Kin Pang Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 38%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Kin Pang Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Kin Pang Holdings' P/S

Kin Pang Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Kin Pang Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Kin Pang Holdings (including 2 which are potentially serious).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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