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Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000615) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 18, 2023 00:22

When close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000615) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000615 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2023

How Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 60% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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