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Meta Media Holdings Limited's (HKG:72) 31% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17, 2023 18:22

The Meta Media Holdings Limited (HKG:72) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 378% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Meta Media Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Media industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Meta Media Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:72 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

How Meta Media Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Meta Media Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Meta Media Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Meta Media Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 17% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Meta Media Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Meta Media Holdings' P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Meta Media Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Media industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Meta Media Holdings revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Meta Media Holdings (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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