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Great Chinasoft Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002453) Shares Bounce 29% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17, 2023 18:18

Great Chinasoft Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002453) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.4% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 8.4x and even P/S higher than 15x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002453 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

How Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

For instance, Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 32% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Great Chinasoft TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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