It's been a soft week for Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery Stock Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603029) shares, which are down 11%. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. In fact, the share price is up a full 117% compared to three years ago. To some, the recent share price pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a good run. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.
Although Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd has shed CN¥379m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
View our latest analysis for Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During three years of share price growth, Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd achieved compound earnings per share growth of 25% per year. We note that the 30% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 122%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 91% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery StockLtd (including 1 which is significant) .
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
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