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These 4 Measures Indicate That Golden Energy and Resources (SGX:AUE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Golden Energy and Resources (SGX:AUE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

這 4 項措施表明,黃金能源和資源(SGX:AUE)使用債務合理良好
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/05 19:27

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Golden Energy and Resources Limited (SGX:AUE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理Li·Lu曾説過,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。與許多其他公司一樣金色能源資源有限公司(SGX:AuE)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見(但代價仍然高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股份,只是為了支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面後果。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Golden Energy and Resources

查看我們對黃金能源和資源的最新分析

What Is Golden Energy and Resources's Debt?

黃金能源和資源公司的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Golden Energy and Resources had US$1.07b of debt, an increase on US$405.3m, over one year. However, it does have US$973.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$99.2m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2022年12月,黃金能源和資源公司的債務為10.7億美元,比一年前增加了4.053億美元。然而,它確實有9.735億美元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為9920萬美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:AUE Debt to Equity History March 6th 2023
新交所:澳大利亞債轉股歷史2023年3月6日

How Strong Is Golden Energy and Resources' Balance Sheet?

黃金能源資源公司的資產負債表有多強勁?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Golden Energy and Resources had liabilities of US$1.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.51b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$973.5m in cash and US$579.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.36b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,金色能源資源公司有14.億美元的負債在一年內到期,超過一年的負債有151億美元到期。作為抵消,它有9.735億美元的現金和5.798億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多13.6億美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Golden Energy and Resources' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

與其17.8億美元的市值相比,這一赤字是相當可觀的,因此它確實表明股東應該密切關注黃金能源和資源公司的債務使用情況。這表明,如果該公司需要匆忙支撐其資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

為了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。因此,我們考慮債務相對於收益,包括折舊和攤銷費用。

With debt at a measly 0.051 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 14.7 times, it's clear that Golden Energy and Resources is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Even more impressive was the fact that Golden Energy and Resources grew its EBIT by 290% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Golden Energy and Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由於債務僅為息税前利潤的0.051倍,息税前利潤高達14.7倍,顯然黃金能源資源公司並不是一個絕望的借款人。因此,相對於過去的收益,債務負擔似乎微不足道。更令人印象深刻的是,Golden Energy and Resources在12個月內息税前利潤增長了290%。如果保持這樣的增長,未來幾年的債務將變得更加可控。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但黃金能源和資源公司的盈利將影響未來資產負債表的表現。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Golden Energy and Resources generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,我們顯然需要看看息税前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,Golden Energy and Resources產生了相當強勁的自由現金流,佔其息税前利潤的88%,超出了我們的預期。這使它處於有利的地位,如果需要的話,它可以償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Golden Energy and Resources's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Golden Energy and Resources's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Golden Energy and Resources , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人欣慰的是,金色能源資源公司令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋意味着它在債務上佔據了上風。但是,更為悲觀的是,我們對其總負債水平略感擔憂。從更大的角度來看,我們認為金色能源資源公司的債務使用似乎相當合理,我們並不擔心。儘管債務確實會帶來風險,但如果使用得當,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報率。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經確定了1個警告信號與黃金能源和資源公司合作,瞭解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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