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Does Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-Industry Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600305) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Stock Could Move In The Opposite Direction?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 3, 2023 20:47

Most readers would already know that Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600305) stock increased by 5.3% over the past three months. Given that the markets usually pay for the long-term financial health of a company, we wonder if the current momentum in the share price will keep up, given that the company's financials don't look very promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd is:

5.8% = CN¥129m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.8% ROE

At first glance, Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 7.3% either. For this reason, Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's five year net income decline of 15% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 6.7% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600305 Past Earnings Growth March 4th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd has a high three-year median payout ratio of 54% (that is, it is retaining 46% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

In addition, Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 67% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's future ROE will rise to 14% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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