The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Brook Crompton Holdings Ltd. (SGX:AWC) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.
View our latest analysis for Brook Crompton Holdings
Examining Cashflow Against Brook Crompton Holdings' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Brook Crompton Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.44 for the year to December 2022. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of S$7.8m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of S$1.98m. It's worth noting that Brook Crompton Holdings generated positive FCF of S$2.8m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Brook Crompton Holdings' accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Brook Crompton Holdings.
Our Take On Brook Crompton Holdings' Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Brook Crompton Holdings didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Brook Crompton Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Our analysis shows 6 warning signs for Brook Crompton Holdings (3 make us uncomfortable!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Brook Crompton Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.