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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Water Oasis Group Limited (HKG:1161) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 9, 2023 17:21

It looks like Water Oasis Group Limited (HKG:1161) is about to go ex-dividend in the next four days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. This means that investors who purchase Water Oasis Group's shares on or after the 14th of February will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 6th of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.075 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.075 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Water Oasis Group stock has a trailing yield of around 4.6% on the current share price of HK$1.63. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Water Oasis Group's dividend is reliable and sustainable. As a result, readers should always check whether Water Oasis Group has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

See our latest analysis for Water Oasis Group

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. It paid out 76% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. We'd be concerned if earnings began to decline. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Water Oasis Group generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Over the past year it paid out 119% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Water Oasis Group does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

While Water Oasis Group's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Water Oasis Group's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Water Oasis Group paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:1161 Historic Dividend February 9th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Water Oasis Group's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run. Earnings have been growing somewhat, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Water Oasis Group's dividend payments per share have declined at 5.0% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Water Oasis Group? Water Oasis Group is paying out a reasonable percentage of its income yet an uncomfortably high 119% of its cash flow as dividends. What's more, earnings have barely grown. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Water Oasis Group. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Water Oasis Group that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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