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Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Melbourne Enterprises' (HKG:158) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 25, 2023 17:14

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Melbourne Enterprises Limited (HKG:158) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Melbourne Enterprises' shares before the 30th of January in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 9th of February.

The company's upcoming dividend is HK$1.80 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of HK$3.60 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Melbourne Enterprises has a trailing yield of 3.0% on the current share price of HK$122. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Melbourne Enterprises's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Melbourne Enterprises

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Melbourne Enterprises reported a loss after tax last year, which means it's paying a dividend despite being unprofitable. While this might be a one-off event, this is unlikely to be sustainable in the long term. With the recent loss, it's important to check if the business generated enough cash to pay its dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. It paid out 107% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

Click here to see how much of its profit Melbourne Enterprises paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:158 Historic Dividend January 25th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Melbourne Enterprises was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Melbourne Enterprises has seen its dividend decline 2.0% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see.

Get our latest analysis on Melbourne Enterprises's balance sheet health here.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Melbourne Enterprises? It's hard to get used to Melbourne Enterprises paying a dividend despite reporting a loss over the past year. Worse, the dividend was not well covered by cash flow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Melbourne Enterprises. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Melbourne Enterprises that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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