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Could The Market Be Wrong About Bumitama Agri Ltd. (SGX:P8Z) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 12, 2022 18:10

It is hard to get excited after looking at Bumitama Agri's (SGX:P8Z) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.1% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Bumitama Agri's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Bumitama Agri

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Bumitama Agri is:

29% = Rp4.1t ÷ Rp14t (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SGD1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SGD0.29 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Bumitama Agri's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

First thing first, we like that Bumitama Agri has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 9.9% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Probably as a result of this, Bumitama Agri was able to see a decent net income growth of 16% over the last five years.

Next, on comparing Bumitama Agri's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 15% in the same period.

past-earnings-growthSGX:P8Z Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Bumitama Agri's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Bumitama Agri Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 39% (implying that the company retains 61% of its profits), it seems that Bumitama Agri is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, Bumitama Agri is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of nine years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 41%. Regardless, Bumitama Agri's ROE is speculated to decline to 15% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Bumitama Agri's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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