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Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical Corporation's (SHSE:688098) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2022 17:25

Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical Corporation (SHSE:688098) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 34x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's lofty.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical

peSHSE:688098 Price Based on Past Earnings November 9th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 21% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 45% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Shen Lian Biomedical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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