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Further Upside For Yau Lee Holdings Limited (HKG:406) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2022 17:25

Yau Lee Holdings Limited (HKG:406) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.2% isn't as impressive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yau Lee Holdings' P/E ratio of 10.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Yau Lee Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Yau Lee Holdings

peSEHK:406 Price Based on Past Earnings November 9th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Yau Lee Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Yau Lee Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 55% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 127% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's curious that Yau Lee Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Yau Lee Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Yau Lee Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Yau Lee Holdings you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Yau Lee Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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