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AV Concept Holdings Limited (HKG:595) Stock Rockets 26% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 29, 2022 20:31

Those holding AV Concept Holdings Limited (HKG:595) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, AV Concept Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 8x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

For example, consider that AV Concept Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for AV Concept Holdings

peSEHK:595 Price Based on Past Earnings October 30th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AV Concept Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For AV Concept Holdings?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, AV Concept Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 304% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that AV Concept Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From AV Concept Holdings' P/E?

Shares in AV Concept Holdings are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of AV Concept Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - AV Concept Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than AV Concept Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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