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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:1759) Shares After Tumbling 33%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 21, 2022 18:30

Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 73% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may still consider Sino Gas Holdings Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 10.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's lofty.

For instance, Sino Gas Holdings Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Sino Gas Holdings Group

peSEHK:1759 Price Based on Past Earnings October 21st 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sino Gas Holdings Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sino Gas Holdings Group's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sino Gas Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 72% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E

Despite the recent share price weakness, Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Sino Gas Holdings Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Sino Gas Holdings Group (2 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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