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Infinera (NASDAQ:INFN) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 1, 2022 08:35

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Infinera Corporation (NASDAQ:INFN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Infinera

How Much Debt Does Infinera Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Infinera had US$640.6m of debt, an increase on US$461.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$130.9m, its net debt is less, at about US$509.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysisNasdaqGS:INFN Debt to Equity History October 1st 2022

How Strong Is Infinera's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Infinera had liabilities of US$555.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$797.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$130.9m in cash and US$302.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$918.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.05b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Infinera's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Infinera can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Infinera wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 6.6%, to US$1.5b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Infinera had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$94m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$111m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Infinera is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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