share_log

Further Weakness as Health Catalyst (NASDAQ:HCAT) Drops 15% This Week, Taking One-year Losses to 83%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 23, 2022 12:56

As every investor would know, you don't hit a homerun every time you swing. But serious investors should think long and hard about avoiding extreme losses. So we hope that those who held Health Catalyst, Inc. (NASDAQ:HCAT) during the last year don't lose the lesson, in addition to the 83% hit to the value of their shares. That'd be a striking reminder about the importance of diversification. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down71% in that time. Furthermore, it's down 46% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

With the stock having lost 15% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

See our latest analysis for Health Catalyst

Given that Health Catalyst didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last year Health Catalyst saw its revenue grow by 23%. That's definitely a respectable growth rate. Unfortunately, the market wanted something better, given it sent the share price 83% lower during the year. It could be that the losses are too much for investors to handle without losing their nerve. We'd posit that the future looks challenging, given the disconnect between revenue growth and the share price.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growthNasdaqGS:HCAT Earnings and Revenue Growth September 23rd 2022

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for Health Catalyst shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 83%. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 20%, likely weighing on the stock. Shareholders have lost 19% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. We would be wary of buying into a company with unsolved problems, although some investors will buy into struggling stocks if they believe the price is sufficiently attractive. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Health Catalyst you should be aware of.

Health Catalyst is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment