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GMS' (NYSE:GMS) Underlying Earnings Growth Outpaced the Respectable Return Generated for Shareholders Over the Past Three Years

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 23, 2022 11:55

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the GMS Inc. (NYSE:GMS) share price down 22% in the last month. But don't let that distract from the very nice return generated over three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 42% during that period.

While the stock has fallen 4.8% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for GMS

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

GMS was able to grow its EPS at 60% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 12% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 5.77 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growthNYSE:GMS Earnings Per Share Growth September 23rd 2022

We know that GMS has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling GMS stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While it's certainly disappointing to see that GMS shares lost 11% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 20%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 3% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for GMS (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course GMS may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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