The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Bilibili
What Is Bilibili's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Bilibili had CN¥18.4b of debt, up from CN¥8.56b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥24.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥6.55b net cash position.
NasdaqGS:BILI Debt to Equity History September 20th 2022
How Strong Is Bilibili's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Bilibili had liabilities of CN¥13.0b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥17.6b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥24.9b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.43b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.21b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Bilibili has a market capitalization of CN¥47.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Bilibili also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Bilibili can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Bilibili reported revenue of CN¥21b, which is a gain of 35%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
So How Risky Is Bilibili?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Bilibili lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥6.3b and booked a CN¥9.1b accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥6.55b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Bilibili may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Bilibili .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
伯克希爾哈撒韋的外部基金經理理想汽車·盧直言不諱地説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是嗶哩嗶哩-SW股份有限公司納斯達克(Alipay:BILI)確實揹負着債務。但股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?
債務在什麼時候是危險的?
債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。然而,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本投資於高回報率增長的企業來説,債務可以成為一個非常好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
看看我們對嗶哩嗶哩-SW的最新分析
嗶哩嗶哩-SW的淨負債是多少?
如下所示,截至2022年6月底,嗶哩嗶哩-SW的債務為184億元人民幣,而一年前為85.6億元人民幣。單擊圖像瞭解更多詳細信息。但另一方面,它也有249億加元的現金,導致65.5億加元的淨現金頭寸。
NasdaqGS:Bili債轉股歷史2022年9月20日
嗶哩嗶哩-SW的資產負債表有多強?
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,嗶哩嗶哩-SW有130億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,176億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期。作為對這些債務的抵消,該公司有249億加元的現金和14.3億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多42.1億元。
鑑於嗶哩嗶哩-SW的市值為470億元人民幣,很難相信這些債務會構成太大威脅。但有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控未來的資產負債表。雖然嗶哩嗶哩-SW確實有值得注意的負債,但它的現金也多於債務,所以我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定嗶哩嗶哩-SW能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。
在12個月的時間裏,嗶哩嗶哩-SW報告了210億元的收入,增長了35%,儘管它沒有報告任何息税前收益。股東們可能會祈禱它能以自己的方式增長並實現盈利。
那麼,嗶哩嗶哩-SW的風險有多大呢?
就其本質而言,虧損的公司比那些長期盈利的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的12個月裏,嗶哩嗶哩-SW在息税前利潤(EBIT)上虧損。同期,該公司自由現金流出為負63億加元,並計入91億加元的會計損失。雖然這確實給該公司帶來了一些風險,但重要的是要記住,它的淨現金為人民幣65.5億元。這意味着,按照目前的速度,該公司可以在至少兩年的時間裏保持支出以實現增長。憑藉去年非常穩健的收入增長,嗶哩嗶哩-SW可能走上了盈利的道路。通過在這些利潤之前投資,股東承擔了更大的風險,希望獲得更大的回報。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們已經看到了嗶哩嗶哩-SW。
如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。