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Public Companies Invested in China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1117) Copped the Brunt of Last Week's HK$396m Market Cap Decline

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 19, 2022 18:50

To get a sense of who is truly in control of China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1117), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are public companies with 50% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

As market cap fell to HK$7.7b last week, public companies would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of China Modern Dairy Holdings.

See our latest analysis for China Modern Dairy Holdings

ownership-breakdownSEHK:1117 Ownership Breakdown September 19th 2022

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About China Modern Dairy Holdings?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that China Modern Dairy Holdings does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at China Modern Dairy Holdings' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growthSEHK:1117 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2022

Hedge funds don't have many shares in China Modern Dairy Holdings. The company's largest shareholder is China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, with ownership of 50%. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.0% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 2.8% by the third-largest shareholder.

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 2 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of China Modern Dairy Holdings

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. in their own names. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we haven't picked up on. It appears that the board holds about HK$12m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of HK$7.7b. Many tend to prefer to see a board with bigger shareholdings. A good next step might be to take a look at this free summary of insider buying and selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 33% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 11%, of the company's shares. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Public Company Ownership

Public companies currently own 50% of China Modern Dairy Holdings stock. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand China Modern Dairy Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with China Modern Dairy Holdings (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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