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Is Horace Mann Educators Corporation's (NYSE:HMN) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 7, 2022 07:55

With its stock down 6.4% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Horace Mann Educators (NYSE:HMN). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. In this article, we decided to focus on Horace Mann Educators' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Horace Mann Educators

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Horace Mann Educators is:

4.7% = US$59m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.05.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Horace Mann Educators' Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

On the face of it, Horace Mann Educators' ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 11% either. Thus, the low net income growth of 2.9% seen by Horace Mann Educators over the past five years could probably be the result of the low ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Horace Mann Educators' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growthNYSE:HMN Past Earnings Growth September 7th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is HMN fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Horace Mann Educators Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While Horace Mann Educators has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 36% (or a retention ratio of 64%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Horace Mann Educators has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 37%. However, Horace Mann Educators' ROE is predicted to rise to 11% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Horace Mann Educators' performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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