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Shang Gong Group's (SHSE:900924) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 6, 2022 18:25

The subdued market reaction suggests that Shang Gong Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:900924) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

See our latest analysis for Shang Gong Group

earnings-and-revenue-historySHSE:900924 Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2022

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Shang Gong Group issued 30% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Shang Gong Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Shang Gong Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Unfortunately, Shang Gong Group's profit is down 62% per year over three years. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we see profit is down 71%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 77% in that time. Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.

If Shang Gong Group's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shang Gong Group.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Shang Gong Group's net profit by CN¥13m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Shang Gong Group's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Shang Gong Group got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shang Gong Group's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shang Gong Group you should be mindful of and 1 of these shouldn't be ignored.

Our examination of Shang Gong Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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