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Earnings Not Telling The Story For A.Plus Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1841) After Shares Rise 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 31, 2022 18:20

A.Plus Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1841) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.5% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider A.Plus Group Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at A.Plus Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for A.Plus Group Holdings

peSEHK:1841 Price Based on Past Earnings August 31st 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on A.Plus Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is A.Plus Group Holdings' Growth Trending?

A.Plus Group Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 57%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 58% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that A.Plus Group Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From A.Plus Group Holdings' P/E?

Shares in A.Plus Group Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of A.Plus Group Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware A.Plus Group Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those don't sit too well with us.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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