Kingboard Holdings Limited (HKG:148), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$38.95 and falling to the lows of HK$21.95. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Kingboard Holdings' current trading price of HK$21.95 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Kingboard Holdings's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Kingboard Holdings
What Is Kingboard Holdings Worth?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 2.26x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 6.87x, which means if you buy Kingboard Holdings today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Kingboard Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Kingboard Holdings's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Kingboard Holdings generate?SEHK:148 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 29th 2022
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Kingboard Holdings, it is expected to deliver a negative revenue growth of -6.0% over the next couple of years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? 148 seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on 148, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 148 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help gel your views on 148 should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Kingboard Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Kingboard Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.