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China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Company Limited (HKG:2198) Shares Fly 34% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 17, 2022 18:20

China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Company Limited (HKG:2198) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 47% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may still consider China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals as an attractive investment with its 4.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals

peSEHK:2198 Price Based on Past Earnings August 17th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 66%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals' P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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