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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Cabbeen Fashion Limited's (HKG:2030) 25% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 5, 2022 18:55

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Cabbeen Fashion Limited (HKG:2030) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Cabbeen Fashion as an attractive investment with its 5.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Cabbeen Fashion's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Cabbeen Fashion

SEHK:2030 Price Based on Past Earnings July 5th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cabbeen Fashion, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Cabbeen Fashion's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Cabbeen Fashion is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Cabbeen Fashion's P/E?

The softening of Cabbeen Fashion's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Cabbeen Fashion maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Cabbeen Fashion is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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