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Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:300019) 39% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same three-year period

Simply Wall St ·  May 19, 2022 19:36

It hasn't been the best quarter for Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300019) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 18% in that time. But that doesn't undermine the rather lovely longer-term return, if you measure over the last three years. The share price marched upwards over that time, and is now 156% higher than it was. After a run like that some may not be surprised to see prices moderate. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Since it's been a strong week for Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During three years of share price growth, Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd achieved compound earnings per share growth of 43% per year. We don't think it is entirely coincidental that the EPS growth is reasonably close to the 37% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

SZSE:300019 Earnings Per Share Growth May 19th 2022

We know that Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 169%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 21% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 15% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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