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Winto Group (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:8238) Shares Bounce 29% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Simply Wall St ·  May 18, 2022 19:11

Winto Group (Holdings) Limited (HKG:8238) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 76%.

Although its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may still consider Winto Group (Holdings) as an attractive investment with its 5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Winto Group (Holdings) has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Winto Group (Holdings)

SEHK:8238 Price Based on Past Earnings May 18th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Winto Group (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Winto Group (Holdings)'s Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Winto Group (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 362%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Winto Group (Holdings) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Winto Group (Holdings)'s P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Winto Group (Holdings) revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Winto Group (Holdings) is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Winto Group (Holdings). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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