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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) (HKG:3616)

Simply Wall St ·  {{timeTz}}

Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited's (HKG:3616) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

Check out our latest analysis for Ever Reach Group (Holdings)

SEHK:3616 Earnings and Revenue History May 9th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Ever Reach Group (Holdings) recorded an accrual ratio of 0.26. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥306.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥176m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥885m a year ago though, so Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ever Reach Group (Holdings).

Our Take On Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s Profit Performance

Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 7.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Ever Reach Group (Holdings) has 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ever Reach Group (Holdings)'s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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