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Earnings Working Against China YuHua Education Corporation Limited's (HKG:6169) Share Price Following 31% Dive

Simply Wall St ·  May 3, 2022 19:06

The China YuHua Education Corporation Limited (HKG:6169) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 84% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, China YuHua Education's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China YuHua Education has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for China YuHua Education

SEHK:6169 Price Based on Past Earnings May 3rd 2022 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China YuHua Education will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is China YuHua Education's Growth Trending?

China YuHua Education's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 39% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 98% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that China YuHua Education is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From China YuHua Education's P/E?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, China YuHua Education's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that China YuHua Education maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China YuHua Education that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than China YuHua Education. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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