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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Aerospace Times Electronics (SHSE:600879) the Stock Increases 9.9%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 35%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Aerospace Times Electronics (SHSE:600879) the Stock Increases 9.9%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 35%

儘管中國航天時報電子(SHSE: 600879)的收益呈下降趨勢,但該股仍增長了9.9%,使五年漲幅達到35%
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 18:29

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term China Aerospace Times Electronics CO., LTD. (SHSE:600879) shareholders have enjoyed a 32% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 13% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 3.0% , including dividends .

一般而言,積極選股的目的是尋找回報優於市場平均水平的公司。事實是,如果你以合適的價格購買高質量的企業,你可以獲得可觀的收益。例如,長期來看,中國航天時代電子有限公司(SHSE: 600879)股東在過去五年中股價上漲了32%,遠遠超過了約13%的市場回報率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的漲幅並不那麼令人印象深刻,股東僅增長了3.0%,包括股息。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During five years of share price growth, China Aerospace Times Electronics actually saw its EPS drop 2.0% per year.

在五年的股價增長中,中國航天時報電子的每股收益實際上每年下降2.0%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,很難說每股收益是評判公司的最佳指標,因爲目前每股收益可能還沒有針對利潤進行優化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

The modest 0.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 8.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that China Aerospace Times Electronics is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

0.6%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年8.1%的收入增長可能被視爲中國航天時報電子增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600879 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600879 2024 年 4 月 30 日收益和收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Aerospace Times Electronics' TSR for the last 5 years was 35%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,中國航天時代電子過去5年的股東總回報率爲35%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that China Aerospace Times Electronics shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.0% over one year. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 6% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Aerospace Times Electronics you should know about.

我們很高興地向大家報告,中國航天時報電子的股東在一年內獲得了 3.0% 的總股東回報率。這包括股息。但是,這低於其在五年內每年爲股東創造的6%的股東總回報率。悲觀的看法是,該股已經過了最好的時機,但另一方面,在業務本身繼續執行的同時,價格可能只是在放緩。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了一個你應該知道的《中國航天時報》電子的警告標誌。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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