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Orient Securities (SHSE:600958) Shareholders Have Endured a 20% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

Orient Securities (SHSE:600958) Shareholders Have Endured a 20% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

五年前,東方證券(上海證券交易所代碼:600958)的股東因投資該股而遭受了20%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 22:25

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Orient Securities Company Limited (SHSE:600958), since the last five years saw the share price fall 29%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 26%.

對於許多人來說,投資的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是,幾乎每個投資者都肯定會有表現過硬和表現不佳的股票。目前,一些股東可能會質疑他們對東方證券有限公司(SHSE: 600958)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了29%。我們還注意到,該股去年表現不佳,股價下跌了26%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得一看公司的基本面是否是長期業績的驅動力,或者是否存在一些差異。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

While the share price declined over five years, Orient Securities actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 11% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,但東方證券實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長11%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率與股價增長形成鮮明對比,我們傾向於參考其他指標來了解圍繞該股的市場情緒變化。

We don't think that the 1.9% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 5.3% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

我們認爲1.9%不是影響股價的重要因素,因爲隨着股息的增加,它相當小。在此期間,收入實際上增長了5.3%。對收入和收益進行更詳細的審查可能會也可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因;可能有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600958 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 24th 2024
SHSE: 600958 2024 年 4 月 24 日收益和收入增長

This free interactive report on Orient Securities' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查東方證券資產負債表實力,這份關於東方證券資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Orient Securities' TSR for the last 5 years was -20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,東方證券過去5年的股東總回報率爲-20%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Orient Securities shareholders did even worse, losing 24% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Orient Securities that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約15%,但東方證券股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了24%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了東方證券的兩個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這些信號。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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