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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NASDAQ:LOPE) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NASDAQ:LOPE) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

大峽谷教育公司(納斯達克股票代碼:LOPE)股票一直在下滑,但基本面看起來不錯:未來市場會調整股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 09:11

It is hard to get excited after looking at Grand Canyon Education's (NASDAQ:LOPE) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.5% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Grand Canyon Education's ROE in this article.

看了大峽谷教育(納斯達克股票代碼:LOPE)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時其股票在過去一個月中下跌了4.5%。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究大峽谷教育的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grand Canyon Education is:

因此,根據上述公式,大峽谷教育的投資回報率爲:

29% = US$205m ÷ US$718m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

29% = 2.05億美元 ÷ 7.18億美元(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.29 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1美元的股權,該公司就能獲得0.29美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Grand Canyon Education's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

大峽谷教育的收入增長和29%的投資回報率的並排比較

To begin with, Grand Canyon Education has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 11% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Grand Canyon Education's net income shrunk at a rate of 5.1% over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,大峽谷教育的投資回報率相當高,這很有趣。其次,與該行業報告的平均投資回報率爲11%的比較也不會被我們忽視。毋庸置疑,我們驚訝地看到,在過去五年中,大峽谷教育的淨收入以5.1%的速度萎縮。基於此,我們認爲可能還有其他原因本文迄今尚未討論過,這些原因可能會阻礙公司的發展。例如,可能是該公司的派息率很高,或者企業的資本配置不當。

However, when we compared Grand Canyon Education's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 15% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將大峽谷教育的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了15%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:LOPE Past Earnings Growth April 20th 2024
納斯達克GS:LOPE 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 20 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is LOPE worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether LOPE is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。LOPE 今天值多少錢?我們的免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖有助於可視化LOPE目前是否被市場定價錯誤。

Is Grand Canyon Education Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

大峽谷教育是否在有效利用其利潤?

Grand Canyon Education doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Grand Canyon Education不支付任何定期分紅,這意味着該公司保留了所有利潤,這讓我們想知道,如果它無法利用收益來發展業務,爲什麼還要保留收益。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that Grand Canyon Education has some positive attributes. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們確實認爲大峽谷教育有一些積極的屬性。但是,鑑於高投資回報率和高利潤保留率,我們預計該公司將實現強勁的收益增長,但情況並非如此。這表明該業務可能面臨一些外部威脅,這阻礙了其增長。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益增長率預計將出現巨大改善。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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