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Is Kingdee International Software Group (HKG:268) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Kingdee International Software Group (HKG:268) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

金蝶國際軟件集團(HKG: 268)是否受到債務負擔的壓力?
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 03:41

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (HKG:268) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,金蝶國際軟件集團有限公司(HKG: 268)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並從自己的利益出發。考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Kingdee International Software Group's Debt?

金蝶國際軟件集團的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Kingdee International Software Group had CN¥776.9m of debt, an increase on CN¥470.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.05b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.28b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,金蝶國際軟件集團在一年內有7.769億元人民幣的債務,比4.70億元人民幣有所增加。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有40.5億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有32.8億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:268 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024
SEHK: 268 2024 年 4 月 12 日債務與股本的比率記錄

A Look At Kingdee International Software Group's Liabilities

看看金蝶國際軟件集團的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kingdee International Software Group had liabilities of CN¥4.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥907.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.05b and CN¥958.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥426.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,金蝶國際軟件集團在12個月內到期的負債爲45.3億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲9.078億元人民幣。另一方面,它有40.5億加元的現金和價值9.583億加元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額爲4.268億元人民幣,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

This state of affairs indicates that Kingdee International Software Group's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥27.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kingdee International Software Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kingdee International Software Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種狀況表明,金蝶國際軟件集團的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想象這家277億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。儘管金蝶國際軟件集團確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定金蝶國際軟件集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, Kingdee International Software Group reported revenue of CN¥5.7b, which is a gain of 17%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去的12個月中,金蝶國際軟件集團公佈的收入爲57億元人民幣,增長了17%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

So How Risky Is Kingdee International Software Group?

那麼金蝶國際軟件集團的風險有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Kingdee International Software Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥243m and booked a CN¥210m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the CN¥3.28b on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kingdee International Software Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

就其本質而言,虧損的公司比盈利歷史悠久的公司風險更大。而且我們確實注意到,金蝶國際軟件集團去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負2.43億元人民幣,會計虧損爲2.1億元人民幣。但儲蓄之處是資產負債表上的328億元人民幣。這意味着它可以在兩年多的時間內將支出保持在目前的水平。總而言之,我們對這個有點懷疑,因爲在沒有自由現金流的情況下,這似乎相當危險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,金蝶國際軟件集團在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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