With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.7x AvePoint, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVPT) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.8x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
NasdaqGS:AVPT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 6th 2024
How AvePoint Has Been Performing
AvePoint's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, AvePoint would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 79% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why AvePoint's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On AvePoint's P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that AvePoint maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for AvePoint with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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