share_log

Credicorp (NYSE:BAP) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 16% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Credicorp (NYSE:BAP) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 16% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Credicorp(紐約證券交易所代碼:BAP)投資者如果在五年前進行投資,將蒙受16%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  03/31 08:33

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) share price up 13% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 31%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

儘管這對某些股東來說可能還不夠,但我們認爲看到Credicorp Ltd.(紐約證券交易所代碼:BAP)的股價在單季度內上漲13%是件好事。但是在過去的五年中,該股表現不佳。實際上,股價下跌了31%,遠低於購買指數基金所能獲得的回報。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Credicorp actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.1% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,Credicorp的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長4.1%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.

根據這些數字,我們敢說,五年前,市場可能對預測的增長過於樂觀。話雖如此,我們可以通過查看其他指標來更好地了解該股的情況。

Revenue is actually up 9.4% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

在此期間,收入實際上增長了9.4%。因此,看來人們可能必須仔細研究基本面才能理解股價下跌的原因。畢竟,可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BAP Earnings and Revenue Growth March 31st 2024
紐約證券交易所:BAP 收益和收入增長 2024 年 3 月 31 日

We know that Credicorp has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Credicorp's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

我們知道Credicorp在過去三年中提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解Credicorp的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Credicorp, it has a TSR of -16% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率包含任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值,以及任何股息,前提是股息是再投資的。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就Credicorp而言,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲-16%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Credicorp shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 35% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 3% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Credicorp you should know about.

我們很高興地向大家報告,Credicorp的股東在一年內獲得了35%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。毫無疑問,最近的回報遠好於五年內每年3%的股東總收入損失。長期虧損使我們保持謹慎,但短期股東總回報率的增長無疑暗示着更光明的未來。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的Credicorp警告標誌。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論