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Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688321) 30% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 17:33

Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688321) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 39% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 77.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688321 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 406% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 188% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 63% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 41%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences with six simple checks.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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