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The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.5% Over the Past Week

The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.5% Over the Past Week

由於過去一週股價下跌5.5%,五年收益的下降可能會給崑崙能源(HKG: 135)的股東造成損失
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:46

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more -- or less -- than that. The Kunlun Energy Company Limited (HKG:135) stock price is down 24% over five years, but the total shareholder return is 34% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 14% over the same time. On top of that, the share price is down 5.5% in the last week.

理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是,如果你選擇正確的個股,你的收入可能會比這更多或更少。崑崙能源有限公司(HKG: 135)的股價在五年內下跌了24%,但計入股息後,股東總回報率爲34%。這比同期下跌14%的市場要好。最重要的是,上週股價下跌了5.5%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Kunlun Energy isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果說過去一週有意義的話,投資者對崑崙能源的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Looking back five years, both Kunlun Energy's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.1% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 5% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 10.02.

回顧五年,崑崙能源的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降1.1%。讀者應注意,在此期間,股價的下跌速度快於每股收益,每年爲5%。這意味着市場此前對該股過於樂觀。不太樂觀的情緒反映在其目前的市盈率10.02中。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:135 Earnings Per Share Growth March 5th 2024
SEHK: 135 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 5 日

We know that Kunlun Energy has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Kunlun Energy stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

我們知道崑崙能源在過去三年中提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?如果您正在考慮買入或賣出崑崙能源股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Kunlun Energy's TSR for the last 5 years was 34%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,崑崙能源過去5年的股東總回報率爲34%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Kunlun Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 3.0% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 6% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Kunlun Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高興看到崑崙能源在過去十二個月中向股東提供了3.0%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。但是,這低於其在五年內每年爲股東創造的6%的股東總回報率。潛在買家可能會覺得他們錯過了機會,這是可以理解的,但業務總是有可能全力以赴的。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,崑崙能源在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

But note: Kunlun Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:崑崙能源可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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