share_log

China Railway Materials Company Limited's (SZSE:000927) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

China Railway Materials Company Limited's (SZSE:000927) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

中國鐵路物資股份有限公司(SZSE: 000927)的股票最近表現疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 01:26

China Railway Materials (SZSE:000927) has had a rough week with its share price down 14%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study China Railway Materials' ROE in this article.

中國鐵路物資(深圳證券交易所代碼:000927)經歷了艱難的一週,其股價下跌了14%。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現其關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,考慮到市場通常會獎勵更具彈性的長期基本面,這可能意味着該股有可能在長期內上漲。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中鐵物資的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Materials is:

因此,根據上述公式,中鐵物資的投資回報率爲:

6.8% = CN¥678m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

6.8% = 6.78億元人民幣 ÷ 10億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。將其概念化的一種方法是,每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,公司的利潤爲0.07元人民幣。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

China Railway Materials' Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中國鐵路物資的收益增長和6.8%的投資回報率

At first glance, China Railway Materials' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 5.6% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But seeing China Railway Materials' five year net income decline of 16% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,中鐵物資的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。但是,其投資回報率遠高於行業平均水平的5.6%,這一事實並沒有被我們忽視。但是,鑑於中鐵物資的五年淨收入在過去五年中下降了16%,我們可能會重新考慮這個問題。請記住,該公司的投資回報率一開始有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,這在某種程度上解釋了收益的萎縮。

That being said, we compared China Railway Materials' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 3.8% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將中鐵物資的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在5年同期以3.8%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000927 Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024
SZSE: 000927 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 6 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Railway Materials is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查中鐵物資相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is China Railway Materials Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中鐵物資是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

China Railway Materials doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

中鐵物資不支付任何股息,這意味着該公司保留了所有利潤,這使我們想知道,如果它不能將收益用於發展業務,爲什麼還要保留收益。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that China Railway Materials certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for China Railway Materials visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體而言,我們認爲中鐵物資確實有一些積極因素需要考慮。但是,低收益增長有點令人擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的回報率可觀,並且正在將很大一部分利潤再投資。從表面上看,可能還有其他一些因素阻礙了增長,這些因素不一定是業務的控制。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。要了解我們爲中鐵物資確定的第一種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險控制面板。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論