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While Shareholders of Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank (SZSE:002839) Are in the Red Over the Last Year, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown

While Shareholders of Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank (SZSE:002839) Are in the Red Over the Last Year, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown

去年,儘管江蘇張家港農村商業銀行(SZSE:002839)的股東處於虧損狀態,但基礎收益實際上有所增長
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 23:11

It's understandable if you feel frustrated when a stock you own sees a lower share price. But sometimes a share price fall can have more to do with market conditions than the performance of the specific business. The Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd (SZSE:002839) is down 16% over a year, but the total shareholder return is -12% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 20%. Zooming out, the stock is down 13% in the last three years. On the other hand the share price has bounced 5.2% over the last week. But this could be related to the strong market, with stocks up around 2.4% in the same time.

當你擁有的股票股價下跌時,如果你感到沮喪,這是可以理解的。但是有時股價下跌可能更多地與市場狀況有關,而不是與特定業務的表現有關。江蘇張家港農村商業銀行股份有限公司(SZSE:002839)同比下跌16%,但計入股息後,股東總回報率爲-12%。而總回報率實際上超過了20%的市場跌幅。展望未來,該股在過去三年中下跌了13%。另一方面,股價在上週反彈了5.2%。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,股票同時上漲約2.4%。

The recent uptick of 5.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近上漲5.2%可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,因此讓我們來看看歷史基本面。

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank

查看我們對江蘇張家港農村商業銀行的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Even though the Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管江蘇張家港農村商業銀行的股價在過去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。過去的增長預期很可能不合理。

The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

在這一年中,每股收益和股價之間的差異非常明顯。因此,很容易證明看其他一些指標是合理的。

We don't see any weakness in the Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank's dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.

我們認爲江蘇張家港農村商業銀行的股息沒有任何疲軟,因此穩定的派息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。收入趨勢似乎並不能解釋股價下跌的原因。當然,可能只是它沒有達到市場共識的預期。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002839 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2024
SZSE: 002839 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 30 日

We know that Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道江蘇張家港農村商業銀行最近提高了利潤,但是未來會發生什麼呢?因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank's TSR for the last 1 year was -12%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,江蘇張家港農村商業銀行過去1年的股東總回報率爲-12%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank returned a loss of 12% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 20%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 0.3% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank you should be aware of.

儘管江蘇張家港農村商業銀行在過去十二個月中回報了12%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,回報了20%的虧損。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年0.3%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管羅斯柴爾德男爵確實告訴投資者 “街上有血時買入,即使血液是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,以確定業務本身是健全的。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的江蘇張家港農村商業銀行的一個警告標誌。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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